iPhone SE 4: Better sales than ever before?

Apple should finally present its new entry-level iPhone on Wednesday. Expectations are high – on the part of the manufacturer, the market and users.

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An iPhone 14, here with Bluesky app

An iPhone 14, here with Bluesky app: The iPhone SE 4 is supposed to be based on its look.

(Image: Diego Thomazini/Shutterstock.com)

3 min. read

The rumor mill has been going back and forth for weeks: when will the new iPhone SE 4, also known to some as the "iPhone 16E", finally arrive? After Tim Cook posted a kind of self-leak on X last week, it is now clear that the time will finally come next Wednesday. Apple will then present "the newest member of the family". There will probably not be a real event, but possibly a video and press release to mark the launch. It remains to be seen whether there will also be other new products such as new MacBook Air models with an M4 chip or new iPads – Cook's statement was made in the singular. But even "just" a new iPhone SE 4 is feeding the hype: after all, observers are expecting a whole range of hardware improvements that could broaden the target group. One well-known analyst even expects the device to sell better than any iPhone SE before it.

The usually well-informed Apple observer Ming-Chi Kuo writes on X that he expects sales of 12 million units in the first six months and 10 million units in the second. That would be a total of 22 million devices in the first year, 2 million units more than the maximum of 20 million units per year for all previous models. (All these figures are estimates, however, as Apple no longer publishes them officially).

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"This new model will not only reduce the impact of the off-season on shipments, but also help accelerate the distribution of models that support Apple Intelligence," Kuo said in his post. In other words: Apple can thus compensate for sales slumps outside the Christmas business.

It is also important that Apple will install its own 5G modem for the first time, thus freeing itself from its dependence on supplier Qualcomm. However, it is possible that Qualcomm will try to demand license payments for the Apple modem.

"Qualcomm will review its modem patents after the release of this model and believes there is a chance to get a portion of the patent license fees to reduce the losses from canceled [Apple] orders," Kuo said. Finally, Apple also wants to install its own WLAN and Bluetooth chips. This will primarily affect Broadcom. The iPhone SE 4 will be visually based on the iPhone 14, according to previous reports. For the first time, it will come with Face ID facial recognition and an SoC from the iPhone 16 to enable Apple Intelligence.

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This article was originally published in German. It was translated with technical assistance and editorially reviewed before publication.